分布式海战场资源规划问题

分布式海战场资源规划是实现海上联合作战的关键。首先分析了海战场资源的分类及战场资源规划特点,建立了基于多智能体的分布式海战场资源规划系统,深入分析了该规划系统的组成和功能,并构造了相应的资源规划结构模型,为实现定性和定量相结合的海战场资源规划与管理提供了一条有效的途径。     

基于运动合成的小推力轨道优化方法

针对小推力轨道优化设计问题,提出一种基于运动合成的新方法。给出基于运动合成的小推力轨道机动表达方式,将小推力轨道运动分解成相对独立的三项:单独考虑日心引力的二体轨道运动,单独考虑小推力的运动,以及小推力的存在引起的日心引力摄动作用下的运动。分别给出各项运动的解析表达式,通过合成叠加得到小推力轨道的近似解析解。在此基础上,将小推力轨道优化问题转化成非线性规划问题,并利用序列二次规划方法求解。以小行星1989ML、火星和金星交会任务为例分别进行仿真实验,结果表明,所设计轨道满足任务约束,验证了该方法具有可用性和高效性。     

基于SDP松弛的干扰资源优化分配技术研究

提出一种基于semidefinite programming(简称SDP)松弛的干扰资源优化分配算法。在问题优化过程中首先对模型中非凸的约束条件进行松弛,变为凸约束,将原来的数学模型转化成SDP求解形式,利用内点算法对松弛后的模型求解。该算法利用解析的手段使得干扰资源优化分配问题中的NP难问题在多项式时间内得以解决,并且有较高的可靠性。仿真结果验证了算法的有效性。     

水下爆炸载荷作用下夹芯圆柱壳的动态响应

采用有限元数值模拟方法,对夹芯圆柱壳在水下爆炸载荷作用下的动态响应进行了分析.在夹芯防护层质量给定的情况下,通过对不同夹芯层相对密度下内部圆柱壳体获得的最大加速度进行比较,得出了最优的夹芯层相对密度.同时,还对内部圆柱壳体的等效应力和夹芯层的变形进行了分析.研究结果表明:夹芯防护层对爆炸冲击波有较好的衰减作用,且对里面的圆柱壳体起到了较好的保护作用,具有优异的抗冲击防护特性.     

水下航行体惯性类水动力系数的计算方法

为了系统地计算水下航行体全套惯性类水动力系数,提高计算效率和计算精度,通过基于无粘模型的计算方法对水下航行体的运动进行了预报;通过UDF及动网格技术,对匀速运动和匀加速运动的SUBOFF模型进行了分析.设计了单方向速度线性变化的匀加速直线运动和匀加速回转运动,并通过换算和数值拟合处理得到了潜艇所受的惯性力和惯性类水动力系数.该系数与试验误差保证在6％之内,验证了所提方法的可行性及准确性.     

Minimum violations and predictive meta‐rankings for college football

This article presents two meta‐ranking models that minimize or nearly minimize violations of past game results while predicting future game winners as well as or better than leading current systems—a combination never before offered for college football. Key to both is the development and integration of a highly predictive ensemble probability model generated from the analysis of 36 existing college football ranking systems. This ensemble model is used to determine a target ranking that is used in two versions of a hierarchical multiobjective mixed binary integer linear program (MOMBILP). When compared to 75 other systems out‐of‐sample, one MOMBILP was the leading predictive system while getting within 0.64% of the retrodictive optimum; the other MOMBILP minimized violations while achieving a prediction total that was 2.55% lower than the best mark. For bowls, prediction sums were not statistically significantly different from the leading value, while achieving optimum or near‐optimum violation counts. This performance points to these models as potential means of reconciling the contrasting perspectives of predictiveness versus the matching of past performance when it comes to ranking fairness in college football. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 17–33, 2014     

The impact of operational decisions on the design of salesforce incentives

When facing high levels of overstock inventories, firms often push their salesforce to work harder than usual to attract more demand, and one way to achieve that is to offer attractive incentives. However, most research on the optimal design of salesforce incentives ignores this dependency and assumes that operational decisions of production/inventory management are separable from design of salesforce incentives. We investigate this dependency in the problem of joint salesforce incentive design and inventory/production control. We develop a dynamic Principal‐Agent model with both Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in which the principal is strategic and risk‐neutral but the agent is myopic and risk‐averse. We find the optimal joint incentive design and inventory control strategy, and demonstrate the impact of operational decisions on the design of a compensation package. The optimal strategy is characterized by a menu of inventory‐dependent salesforce compensation contracts. We show that the optimal compensation package depends highly on the operational decisions; when inventory levels are high, (a) the firm offers a more attractive contract and (b) the contract is effective in inducing the salesforce to work harder than usual. In contrast, when inventory levels are low, the firm can offer a less attractive compensation package, but still expect the salesforce to work hard enough. In addition, we show that although the inventory/production management and the design of salesforce compensation package are highly correlated, information acquisition through contract design allows the firm to implement traditional inventory control policies: a market‐based state‐dependent policy (with a constant base‐stock level when the inventory is low) that makes use of the extracted market condition from the agent is optimal. This work appears to be the first article on operations that addresses the important interplay between inventory/production control and salesforce compensation decisions in a dynamic setting. Our findings shed light on the effective integration of these two significant aspects for the successful operation of a firm. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 320–340, 2014     

基于数据站场的系统效能评估决策支持方法

随着信息技术的发展,系统信息量的提升给军事系统效能评估带来了新的问题。针对系统效能分析数据非线性、高维数、强耦合的特点,提出了一种基于数据站场技术的效能评估决策支持方法。通过数据恢复、约减、求精与重构操作,对评估数据进行了处理,并搭建了数据站场立方体,降低了数据间的依赖性,满足了不同层面系统分析的需求。以面向任务的网络化火控系统的为例,进行了系统效能评估、时效性评估和指标分析,从三个层次验证了方法的有效性与可行性。将数据挖掘技术应用到仿真系统效能评估决策中,获得了更广泛的应用。     

考虑弹体动态特性的机动效率约束导引律

针对考虑交会角和过载约束导引律在大机动时能量损失大的问题,提出一种考虑导弹机动效率的多约束制导律。应用最优二次型原理推导出考虑一阶弹体延迟的时变导引系数闭环次优制导形式,将导弹机动时刻阻力系数引入时变权系数,并通过迭代确定机动效率约束边界。将时变约束表示成剩余时间与弹体延迟时间的函数,代入制导指令,进行弹道仿真。结果表明,对于常值与机动目标,文中制导律与过载约束导引律同只考虑交会角约束的导引律相比,对目标均能实现末端弹道成型要求,而考虑机动效率的制导指令分配更为合理,在避免指令加速度饱和的同时有效降低了拦截末端速度损耗,提高制导精度与毁伤效果。且该制导律中时变权系数无须配平求解,在保证精度的同时极大地提高了迭代速度。     

基于窗口预测匹配的序列图像点目标轨迹检测算法

序列图像中运动点目标轨迹的实时检测算法,是目标识别、实时跟踪处理系统中的关键算法之一。在分析不同层次处理方法的基础上,给出了一种基于预测、窗口匹配的点轨迹预测—匹配检测算法,并根据仿真实验的效果,指出此算法可有效地对低信噪比序列图像运动点目标轨迹进行实时检测,具有多目标轨迹检测能力。